Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.197837 0.235815 0.276540 0.323188 0.374869 0.430115 0.493373
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.139455 0.188455 0.245191 0.314632 0.396243 0.488085 0.598220
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.104030 0.159143 0.227778 0.316881 0.426919 0.555954 0.716274
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.074928 0.131162 0.206717 0.310626 0.445001 0.608463 0.817856
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.051423 0.104966 0.183096 0.297052 0.451156 0.645144 0.900602
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.039440 0.092609 0.175965 0.303527 0.482159 0.712918 1.023046
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.027546 0.076841 0.160888 0.296494 0.493531 0.754912 1.113443
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.022464 0.071816 0.161436 0.311585 0.535352 0.837511 1.257573
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.016326 0.062452 0.153089 0.311884 0.555534 0.891180 1.364779
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.011774 0.054663 0.145955 0.312910 0.576096 0.945285 1.473169
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.009053 0.050214 0.144097 0.321947 0.608411 1.015987 1.604757
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.007070 0.046847 0.143679 0.333034 0.643860 1.091558 1.743979
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005341 0.043399 0.142762 0.343531 0.679431 1.169160 1.888999
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003262 0.036757 0.133664 0.338581 0.690363 1.211597 1.986451
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002154 0.032977 0.130204 0.343384 0.716710 1.276698 2.116262
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001135 0.027746 0.121970 0.338251 0.726386 1.317285 2.212229
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000417 0.021840 0.110188 0.324740 0.721125 1.335094 2.275895
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000214 0.019921 0.108951 0.332153 0.751137 1.406183 2.416195
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.016211 0.101140 0.325000 0.755599 1.438328 2.500874
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000022 0.015890 0.104190 0.341250 0.801242 1.534211 2.678687
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.013714 0.100220 0.341692 0.818857 1.587035 2.794566
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011874 0.096768 0.342858 0.837596 1.641733 2.913675
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.011060 0.097036 0.352514 0.871846 1.721125 3.069771